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With 13 games on the slate, there are a plethora of betting angles to attack. However, we’ve decided to deliver a moneyline pick for every matchup.
Find out what games you should add to your MLB picks for June 22.
MLB moneyline picks for June 22
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Yankeesvs  Tigers |
<<-122>> |
 Royalsvs  Rays |
<<-178>> |
 Rangersvs  Marlins |
<<-117>> |
 Philliesvs  Nationals |
<<-111>> |
 Astrosvs  Blue Jays |
<<+113>> |
 Cubsvs  Mets |
<<-113>> |
 Brewersvs  Reds |
<<-142>> |
 Guardiansvs  White Sox |
<<-104>> |
 Dodgersvs  Twins |
<<-148>> |
 Diamondbacksvs  Cardinals |
<<-142>> |
 Red Soxvs  Rockies |
<<+115>> |
 Oriolesvs  Angels |
<<-150>> |
 Bravesvs  Padres |
<<+100>> |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-22.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 22
Yankees vs Tigers: Yankees (-122)
Yankees win probability: 55%
I am not fading the Gerrit Cole train against this inconsistent Detroit Tigers lineup. While the offense has shown some life over the last few games, the New York Yankees have been rolling as well.
Tigers southpaw Framber Valdez has a sub-5.00 ERA at home this season, but he now draws a Yanks lineup filled with lefties who can handle left-handed pitching. I trust Cole & Co. offense to jump on Valdez early and build some insurance runs.
Royals vs Rays: Rays (-178)
Rays win probability: 64%
I do not care if this is the game in which the Kansas City Royals break out. This team has been a disappointment, and I have very little confidence in them right now.
Drew Rasmussen has been excellent, posting a 1.69 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and a 2.44% barrel rate over his last five outings. The Tampa Bay Rays should be in a strong position to carve up Michael Wacha, who has a 5.58 ERA over his last five starts.
Rangers vs Marlins: Marlins (-117)
Marlins win probability: 54%
I have an MLB player prop from this game, but let’s cut to the chase: With Kumar Rocker on the mound for the Texas Rangers, I automatically lean toward the Marlins.
Over his last five starts, he is allowing 45% hard contact with a 5.25 ERA. Tyler Phillips has not been much better, but I trust the young Fish more in this spot at home.
Phillies vs Nationals: Nationals (-111)
Nationals win probability: 52%
I am not eager to fade the Philadelphia Phillies coming off a strong series against the Mets, especially with a potential Sunday Night hangover in play.
If the Washington Nationals can execute their game plan, they have a chance to get out to an early lead against Alan Rangel, while Foster Griffin works to keep things steady on the mound.
This sets up as a strong spot for one of baseball’s more exciting offenses to get rolling. Washington’s right-hander has posted a 1.93 ERA over his last five outings, and it will be interesting to see if he can keep that form going in this matchup.
Astros vs Blue Jays: Astros (+113)
Astros win probability: 47%
Despite Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Dylan Cease being dominant this season, I think fading this Houston Astros lineup isn’t a risk worth taking, given how well they have been seeing the ball over their last few games.
I am not overly concerned about Hunter Brown’s return turning into a disaster here, especially with Yordan Alvarez leading the way with an elite rating today. If he gets going, the rest of the offense tends to follow.
Cubs vs Mets: Cubs (-113)
Cubs win probability: 53%
The New York Mets return home after a Sunday Night Baseball loss, while the Chicago Cubs arrive with a full day of rest and momentum at the plate.
Chicago’s offense has been clicking lately and will look to apply early pressure against Kodai Senga. Even with some uncertainty in the Cubs’ bullpen, the edge here is with their offense in this spot.
Brewers vs Reds: Brewers (-142)
Brewers win probability: 59%
The Milwaukee Brewers are in a strong spot in Cincinnati against Brady Singer, who enters with poor matchup grades in both wOBA and ISO.
Milwaukee’s lineup grades out elite on Batters-Box with five elite-rated bats and one strong hitter, giving them a clear edge at the plate. Singer has struggled at home this season, posting a 5.61 xERA and 5.33 xFIP while allowing 42.2% hard contact and a 14.1% barrel rate.
Milwaukee counters with Brandon Woodruff, who has been excellent on the road with a 2.84 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, limiting damage consistently with minimal hard contact. Despite the juice, Milwaukee looks like the side in a small park matchup.
Guardians vs White Sox: Guardians (-104)
Guardians win probability: 51%
The Chicago White Sox return home after cooling off from wins over the Dodgers and Braves, but Anthony Kay on the mound does not inspire much confidence.
The Cleveland Guardians counter with Gavin Williams, who has been steady of late. This matchup leans toward Cleveland behind the stronger pitching performance.
Dodgers vs Twins: Dodgers (-148)
Dodgers win probability: 59%
The Los Angeles Dodgers face Minnesota Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews, who has struggled badly against lefties with a 9.00 ERA, 7.01 xERA, and heavy hard contact allowed.
Los Angeles brings six elite-rated left-handed bats into a prime matchup. Even with Eric Lauer on the mound, this sets up as a strong Dodgers offensive spot.
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-142)
Cardinals win probability: 57%
The St. Louis Cardinals are in a strong spot at home against Merrill Kelly, who has struggled badly against lefties, allowing heavy hard contact, barrels, and elevated damage recently.
St. Louis brings an elite-rated lineup into a favorable matchup, while Andre Pallante has been steady at home. This sets up well for the Cardinals.
Red Sox vs Rockies: Rockies (+115)
Rockies win probability: 46%
I may have some Colorado Rockies bias in my blood, I will admit it. I just think this offense is scrappy, annoying in the best way, and always feels like they are in every game, no matter the score.
Right now, they have been seeing the ball really well over their last 30 at-bats vs. right-handed pitching. Five hitters are batting over .300, six have an OPS above .783, and six also carry an OBP above .333.
The Red Sox have been better lately, but I trust Colorado’s offense to be more consistent in this spot.
Orioles vs Angels: Orioles (-150)
Orioles win probability: 60%
According to Batters-Box, the Orioles enter today with seven hitters carrying at least a strong rating against Angels left-hander Sam Aldegheri, who has been better at home this season.
However, over his last three outings, he owns a 7.00 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, a 14% walk rate, and a 14% strikeout rate. With a nearly fully elite-rated offense in this spot, it is hard to overlook the data.
Braves vs Padres: Braves (+100)
Braves win probability: 50%
What a game this should be, with both offenses running cold and both pitchers coming off some rough recent outings. I am typically anti-Padres due to their inconsistency at the plate, so I lean toward the more complete offense in this spot.
Despite their recent struggles, I still think the Atlanta Braves are the better team here.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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