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Let’s get the week started with a few plus-money Silly Goose Parlays (SPGs). That is what SGP stands for, right?
I dug through the slate and found a handful of spots backed by mouthwatering trends, strong matchup data, and hitters who are swinging a hot bat.
If you are looking for a little fun with your MLB picks this evening, these are the MLB same-game parlay predictions catching my eye tonight.
Today’s best MLB SGP picks
| Game | SGP Odds |
|---|---|
 COL vs  CHC |
<<+385>> |
 MIA vs  PHI |
<<+250>> |
 HOU vs  DET |
<<+180>> |
Rockies vs Cubs SGP: Pitchers in trouble
I am fully expecting both offenses to carry over the success they had in their previous series as the Colorado Rockies and Chicago Cubs square off tonight at Wrigley Field.
Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga enters with a favorable Batters-Box rating, sporting poor marks in matchup ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. In 20 previous favorable matchups, he has allowed 5+ hits in 85% of those starts and has gone over 5.5 hits allowed 50% of the time. This season, the Cubs southpaw owns a 5.13 ERA at home while allowing a 42% hard contact rate and a 10.29% barrel rate to opposing hitters.
Michael Lorenzen brings similar concerns to the mound, entering with the worst pitcher rating on the slate. In 17 previous poorly rated matchups, the Rockies right-hander has allowed over 5.5 hits in 52.94% of those outings. His struggles have been even more pronounced on the road, where he owns a 6.68 ERA while allowing a 49.15% hard contact rate and a 12.71% barrel rate.
Both offenses are loaded with hitters in favorable matchups, making this a strong spot for the bats to stay hot tonight.
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee, COLR
See full analysis of this game in our Rockies vs. Cubs predictions.
Marlins vs Phillies SGP: Philly…with Gusto!
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSP, MIAM
Tigers vs Astros SGP: Southpaw slugfest
I have always been a big advocate of a little plus-money three-leg hit parlay. They are tough to come by, but they are always worth a look. This evening, Detroit Tigers young studs Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter find themselves with elite ratings over on Batters-Box as they take on Houston Astros right-hander Kai-Wei Teng.
Teng owns the third-worst pitcher rating on the slate, carrying poorly rated marks in matchup ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. Over his last five outings, the right-hander has allowed 42% hard contact while posting a 1.48 WHIP.
Both Tigers have been scorching the baseball lately, producing plenty of hard contact and barrels over their last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitching. Each hitter also owns at least 50% arsenal coverage against Teng’s pitch mix. On top of that, both have strong trends when carrying an elite Batters-Box rating, recording a hit in at least 63.79% of those opportunities.
Finally, adding the most dangerous bat in baseball to simply record a hit, as he carries nearly 90% arsenal coverage against Tigers right hander Troy Melton. Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez has also recorded a hit in nearly 67% of his elite rated games over the last three seasons, a 218 game sample size.
At +180, asking these three to simply do the floor and record a hit feels well worth the squeeze this evening.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: DSN, SCHN
See full analysis of this game in our Tigers vs. Astros predictions.
- 2026 Record: 218-376-35, +9.10 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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