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Three teams will have the chance to advance to the second round of the playoffs in tonight’s NBA slate, with some great player props available in all three games.
My NBA predictions for tonight include seeing OG Anunoby and Payton Pritchard helping their teams finish off their opponents, while I also like Jamal Murray to help force a Game 7.
Read on below to see why I’m backing these player props and get my free NBA picks for Thursday, April 30.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 OG Anunoby |
Over 7.5 rebounds | <<-105>> |
 Payton Pritchard |
Over 4.5 assists | <<+120>> |
 Jamal Murray |
Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists | <<-110>> |
Prop #1: OG Anunoby Over 7.5 rebounds
The New York Knicks have regained control of their series against the Atlanta Hawks behind outstanding performances by Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. But OG Anunoby has also been key to New York’s success, averaging 20.0 points and 9.0 rebounds per game in the series.
So far, Anunoby hasn’t had fewer than eight rebounds in a game in the series, grabbing 10 in both Game 4 and Game 5. That’s way up from his regular season average (5.2 rebounds per game), but there are two good reasons for the increase.
First, Anunoby is playing more, getting 37.6 minutes per game in the series. The Hawks are also a relatively poor rebounding team, ranking 20th this season in rebound rate (49.0%). I expect Anunoby to keep crashing the boards as the Knicks likely put away this series tonight.
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Prop #2: Payton Pritchard Over 4.5 assists
Payton Pritchard had a rough game shooting from deep in Game 5, going just 1-for-5 from beyond the arc in the Philadelphia 76ers 113-97 win over the Boston Celtics. Pritchard has been up-and-down in his scoring, averaging 15.0 ppg in the series with a high of 32 points and a low of just four.
One place where Pritchard has remained consistent, however, has been as a distributor. In four of the five games of this series, the Celtics guard has had 5+ assists, a reminder that he dished out an average of 5.2 assists per game during the regular season.
Pritchard will always be a key third option in the Boston offense, but with Jaylen Brown (25.8 ppg) and Jayson Tatum (24.6 ppg) both putting in strong performances, he’s going to do more work in a support
role than as a leading scorer. That role should continue in Game 6, which is why I’m taking Pritchard to hit his assists total again tonight.
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC, Peacock
Prop #3: Jamal Murray Over 38.5 points + rebounds + assists
While Nikola Jokic has been inconsistent – at least by his standards – in this series, Jamal Murray has been a constant force keeping the Denver Nuggets alive against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Over the first five games of the series, Murray is averaging 26.0 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game, and outside of a dip in Game 3, his numbers have been similar every night.
Murray and the rest of the Nuggets have a bit of a break for the remainder of the series, as Anthony Edwards (28.8 ppg in the regular season) is done after his knee injury in Game 4. And while it’s not as big a loss, the fact that Donte DiVincenzo is out with an Achilles injury won’t help Minnesota either.
Murray has put up 40+ PRA in three of the first five games of this series. I expect Denver to lean on him and Jokic heavily to make sure they can win the final two games of this series and keep their postseason run alive. In Murray’s case, that means another all-around performance that allows him to hit the Over on his PRA total.
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
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