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Mauricio Ruffy will look to continue his rise up the lightweight ranks when he faces off against Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250.
Ruffy comes into the bout as a massive -750 favorite in the UFC Freedom 250 odds, while Chandler is trading at +475.
I’ll explain why the Brazilian will make it look easy in my Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler predictions for Sunday, June 14.
Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler fight prediction: Ruffy moneyline (-750)
This bout should not be particularly close, and the odds rightfully reflect that.
29-year-old Mauricio Ruffy is considered one of the top rising stars in the lightweight division, with 12 of his 13 professional wins coming by way of knockout.
The Fighting Nerds product lands 4.19 significant strikes per minute, and he’ll be facing a 40-year-old Michael Chandler, who is not the most difficult target to hit.
Chandler absorbs 4.52 significant strikes per minute, with a differential of -0.48. He doesn’t make much of an effort to avoid damage, with a significant strike defense of just 43% (Ruffy: 59%).
While Chandler has plenty of heart, the American has often been criticized for a lack of fight IQ, and that’ll get him in big trouble against a younger, faster, harder-hitting opponent like Ruffy.
I’m not laying -750 on anyone in a fist fight, but this could be a case where Chandler wins the first few minutes and a live bet on Ruffy becomes a lot more palatable.
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Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler best bet: Ruffy by KO, TKO or DQ (-250)
Four of Ruffy’s five wins in the UFC (including Dana’s Contender Series) have come by way of knockout, and Chandler is a particularly easy target.
At 40 years old, “Iron” Michael Chandler doesn’t have an iron chin anymore, even getting KO’d by Paddy Pimblett last April – just Pimblett’s third knockout in nearly a decade.
Ruffy is one of the best snipers in the UFC and will comfortably find his range against Chandler, who is too tough and stubborn for his own good.
COVERS INTEL: Chandler’s best path to victory may be on the ground, but Ruffy owns a takedown defense of 85%.Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Ruffy | Chandler |
| To win outright | <<-750>> | <<+475>> |
| To win by KO/TKO | <<-250>> | <<+950>> |
| To win by decision | <<+405>> | <<+1750>> |
| To win by submission | <<+975>> | <<+2250>> |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 <<+100>> |
Under 1.5 <<-130>> |
Odds as of 6-13.
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Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler tale of the tape
| Ruffy | Chandler | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Age | 40 |
| 5-foot-11 | Height | 5-foot-8 |
| Lightweight | Weight Class | Lightweight |
| 75 inches | Reach | 71 inches |
| 13-2 | Record | 23-10 |
| 12 | Wins by KO | 11 |
| 0 | Wins by submission | 7 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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