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Despite the absence of Anthony Edwards, the Minnesota Timberwolves are one win away from knocking off the Denver Nuggets.
Our NBA player prop projections highlight six players for you to bet on tonight, with three of them grading out as five-star plays!
For more NBA picks, read our complete Timberwolves vs. Nuggets predictions on April 27.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets computer picks for Game 5
 Timberwolves |
 Nuggets |
|---|---|
| Reid o1.5 threes <<+122>> |
Gordon o10.5 points <<-110>> |
| Gobert o9.5 points <<-130>> |
Braun o10.5 points <<-120>> |
| Conley o5.5 points <<-112>> |
Jokic u30.5 points <<-112>> |
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Timberwolves Game 5 computer picks
Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes (+122)
Projection: 2.20 threes
This is our first of three five-star plays, and our model expects Naz Reid to find success from deep. No Anthony Edwards means plenty of extra shots are up for grabs, and Reid will get some of those extra looks.
Denver doesn’t defend well, and Reid is in line for positive regression after shooting 28% from deep throughout this series.
Rudy Gobert Over 9.5 points (-130)
Projection: 12.20 points
Five-star play No. 2!
Rudy Gobert is by no means a bucket, but being matched up against a bag of milk like Nikola Jokic has its perks. The Minnesota Timberwolves’ big man has 10+ points in two of four games this series, and he’ll be available for easy looks down low.
Mike Conley Over 5.5 points (-112)
Projection: 6.19 points
Mike Conley is nearing the end of his career, but he can still give Minnesota solid minutes off the bench. Our prop projections also call for the vet to hit two threes, which would get him Over this number.
Nuggets Game 5 computer picks
Aaron Gordon Over 10.5 points (-110)
Projection: 13.44 points
Our third and final five-star play comes from Aaron Gordon, who’s questionable to play tonight. With his team’s season on the line, the power forward will do what he can to get on the floor.
Aaron Gordon will need to act as a true third option while Minny tries to handle Jokic and Murray, and our model thinks he’ll rise to the occasion.
Christian Braun Over 10.5 points (-120)
Projection: 11.87 points
Christian Braun is another starter who can produce for the Denver Nuggets. Braun was held quiet the last two games in Minnesota, but a trip back home may be just what the doctor ordered (12 and 16 points in Games 1 and 2, respectively).
Nikola Jokic Under 30.5 points (-112)
Projection: 29.78 points
Nikola Jokic has gone Under this number in all four games against the Timberwolves, with Rudy Gobert trying his best to slow the three-time MVP down.
Even if Joker puts up 30, he’ll still fall below this number.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 5
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Monday, April 27, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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