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The first-place New York Yankees face the last-place Cincinnati Reds today. It’s no surprise New York is favored, but the MLB odds are wildly slanted toward the Bronx Bombers at -210.
The favorite being nearly unbettable still opens the door for a flier on an underdog. That’s why my Reds vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks are looking for a Reds upset and a big payday.
Who will win Reds vs Yankees today: Reds moneyline (+182)
The New York Yankees are 10-5 since Aaron Judge went down with an injury, which has scuttled seasons in the past.
This time, they simply turned Ben Rice into Judge. The Cincinnati Reds are starting southpaw Andrew Abbott today, however. Rice has been a mere mortal and less a Judge clone against lefties, hitting 19 points lower and slugging 126 points less.
New York also doesn’t have the lopsided starting pitcher edge you’d expect from these odds. Will Warren is 7-1, but the Yankees have scored 6+ runs in nine of his 14 starts. He’s 6-0 in those, 1-1 when getting five or fewer from his offense.
COVERS INTEL: Will Warren has been essentially an average starter this season, despite the gaudy record. None of his pitches are in the top-third of MLB in run value. Among the most common underlying metrics, only xERA and barrel rate (both 68th percentile) are in the top third, and just barely.Reds vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-113)
We’ll hedge our risky moneyline bet by taking the favorite in the Over/Under.
Abbott has been Cincinnati’s most reliable pitcher and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his last nine starts. Rice has never faced him, and only 38-year-old reserve Paul Goldschmidt has seen him more than 10 times. Ryan McMahon (1-for-9) is the Yankee next-most familiar with the lefty.
The Reds are in a teamwide batting slump since Elly de la Cruz got hurt and were shut out on Friday night. They have now scored four or fewer in seven of the last 10 games.
- ML/RL bets: 22-27, -2.91 units
- Over/Under bets: 28-25, +2.04 units
Reds vs Yankees weather
It will be mostly sunny skies with a high near 83°F, a steady western wind of 10-20 mph, and 0% chance of precipitation.
Reds vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Reds +186 | Yankees -194
- Run line: Reds +1.5 (-104) | Yankees -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
Reds vs Yankees trend
The Reds have been held Under their team total in 14 of their last 20 games for +7.35 units and a 31% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Yankees.
How to watch Reds vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Saturday, June 20, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | Reds.TV, YES |
| Reds starting pitcher | Andrew Abbott (4-4, 3.95 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (7-1, 3.47 ERA) |
Reds vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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