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Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement leads the American League in hits this season, and is positioned to add to that lead tonight against Philadelphia Phillies starter Zack Wheeler — making his Over 1.5 total bases market at +160 an attractive price.
Find out why in my Phillies vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this June 9 matchup.
Phillies vs Blue Jays predictions
Phillies vs Blue Jays best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+160)
Ernie Clement is one of the league’s premier contact hitters, and his hitting profile matches up well against the Philadelphia Phillies’ starting pitcher Zack Wheeler.
Wheeler relies on a lot of chase in his game, ranking in the 96th percentile in baseball in that category, but gets barreled up often with a high contact rate against.
The Toronto Blue Jays infielder chases a lot, but makes contact on those swings with a 74.8% chase contact rate — which ranks as the ninth highest in all of baseball.
Clement owns a .369 batting average against Wheeler’s two most utilized pitches (four-seamer, sinker), with a .571 slug-rate.
Additionally, Clement’s bat is on fire lately, eclipsing his bases total in six of his last nine games — accumulating 15 hits in that stretch with an OPS of 1.054 — averaging 2.6 bases per game.
I’d play this to +120.
COVERS INTEL: Ernie Clement ranks in the 95th percentile in squared-up rate, which profiles well against Wheeler, who gets barreled up often — ranking in the 47th percentile leaguewide.Phillies vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
Jesus Sanchez also profiles well against Wheeler. Sanchez ranks in the 91st percentile in xBA, suggesting a good matchup against Wheeler’s 7.9% barrel rate and high contact numbers.
Additionally, Sanchez has a hit in 18 of his last 24 starts.
The Phillies have a 22.6% strikeout rate and are about to face the MLB’s strikeout king, who owns a 35.7% K-rte to go along with a whiff rate in the 97th percentile.
Phillies vs Blue Jays SGP
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
- Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 hits
- Dylan Cease Over 6.5 strikeouts
Phillies vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+575)
Wheeler has allowed five home runs in his last two outings, but the lack of power consistency from the Jays has me making this just a half-unit wager.
I’ll back Kazuma Okamoto, who leads Toronto with 13 home runs. A majority of those homers have come off the four-seamer, which is Wheeler’s most used pitch against right-handed hitters.
Okamato also owns a 64.1% hard-hit rate against the pitch type.
- Best bets: 33-32, +6.05 units
- SGPs: 13-52, +7.35 units
- HR picks: 9-56, -1.8 units
Phillies vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia -110 | Toronto -110
- Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+160) | Toronto +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: Over 7 (-125) | Under 7 (+105)
Phillies vs Blue Jays trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the game total Over in eight of their last nine games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Phillies vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-9-2026 |
| First pitch | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Philadelphia, Sportsnet 1 |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (5-1, 2.31 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Dylan Cease (3-3, 3.05 ERA) |
Phillies vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Phillies vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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