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The New York Liberty will try to run their winning streak to nine games as they host the Washington Mystics on Friday night.
New York and Washington have consistently played low-scoring games over the last couple seasons, and I’m taking the Under tonight in my Mystics vs. Liberty predictions.
Let’s break down tonight’s matchup as I share my free WNBA picks for Friday, June 19.
Mystics vs Liberty prediction
Mystics vs Liberty best bet: Under 168.5 (-110)
The New York Liberty are among the best defensive teams in the league, putting up a defensive rating of 102.2 while allowing only 82.3 ppg.
That has served them well against the Washington Mystics, who not only play slowly – they average just 81.1 possessions per 40 minutes, the second-slowest total in the WNBA – but are also inefficient, with a 48.9% effective field goal percentage.
That’s played out when these two teams have met up recently, with totals below tonight’s number in six of their last seven games. I like the Under at anything above 165 points.
COVERS INTEL: The Liberty hold opponents to 0.90 points per play, the second-lowest mark in the WNBA and bad news for Washington, which puts up the same 0.90 points per play total on offense.Mystics vs Liberty same-game parlay
The Liberty had little trouble handling the Mystics on Sunday, beating them by 22 points to record their 10th straight win over Washington.
I’m expecting a similar outcome tonight, as New York boasts one of the most talented rosters in the league and should outclass the Mystics at home.
New York has a depth of star players, and Jonquel Jones can sometimes get overlooked behind Breanna Stewart (19.7 ppg) and – when she’s healthy – Sabrina Ionescu.
But the center is putting up 14.2 ppg and has scored 16+ in each of her last three outings, including going for 20 against the Mystics on Sunday. I love Jones to hit her scoring Over tonight.
Mystics vs Liberty SGP
- Under 168.5
- Liberty -13.5
- Jonquel Jones Over 13.5 points
- Best bet: 7-10, -3.86 units
- SGP: 2-15, -1.70 units
Mystics vs Liberty odds
- Spread: Washington +13.5 (-115) | New York -13.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Washington +575 | New York -850
- Over/Under: Over 168.5 (-110) | Under 168.5 (-110)
Mystics vs Liberty trend
The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Mystics and the Liberty. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Mystics vs Liberty
| Location | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date | Friday, June 19, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Mystics vs Liberty latest injuries
Mystics: Shakira Austin (knee) day-to-day.
Liberty: Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (knee) day-to-day.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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