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Sunday could swing the Premier League title race in a major way, as Manchester City host Arsenal at the Etihad.
A City win cuts the gap to three points with a game in hand, while an Arsenal result would tighten their grip at the top. With that much on the line, this isn’t a spot where either side can afford to lose control, and that usually leads to a much more measured, tactical game than the market expects.
Read on for my Manchester City vs Arsenal predictions and free betting picks for Sunday, April 19 at 11:30 a.m. ET on NBC.
Premier League predictions for Man City vs Arsenal
My Man City vs Arsenal best bet: Under 2.5 (-122 at Sports Interaction)
The importance of this game in the destination of the title cannot be overstated. These are the two best defenses in the league, both conceding under one goal per game on average. City have only conceded multiple goals in one home EPL game in 2026.
Arsenal’s form has dropped off a cliff recently. The Gunners have gone Under 2.5 goals in six of their past eight games in all competitions. Also worth noting that the two teams have met twice already this season, with both games staying Under this number.
I expect a tight, cagey fixture on Sunday.
Man City vs Arsenal same-game parlay (SGP)
Viktor Gyokeres 1+ foul
Antoine Semenyo 1+ foul
Antoine Semenyo 1+ shots on target
Arsenal striker Viktor Gyokeres has committed 30 fouls in 30 league appearances this season, averaging 1.36 per 90 minutes played.
With 14 fouls in 10 EPL games for City, we’ve seen Antoine Semenyo average 1.43 fouls per 90 mins played.
Since arriving in Manchester, we’ve seen Semenyo really add to their attack. Semenyo has averaged 1.12 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the Premier League this season.
Man City vs Arsenal odds
Man City vs Arsenal live odds
How to watch Man City vs Arsenal
| Location | Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England |
| Date | Sunday, April 19, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Weather | Light rain. |
 Recent EPL form |
W-D-D-W-W |
 Recent EPL form |
L-W-W-W-W |
Man City vs Arsenal key injuries
Man City: Josko Gvardiol(Out), Nico O’Reilly (Questionable), Ruben Dias (Questionable), John Stones (Questionable).
Arsenal: Mikel Merino (Out), Jurrien Timber (Questionable), Bukayo Saka (Questionable), Martin Odegaard (Questionable), Riccardo Calafiori (Questionable), Noni Madueke (Questionable).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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