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The Atlanta Braves visit the San Diego Padres tonight at Petco Park, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.
My Braves vs. Padres predictions are eyeing Griffin Canning to quiet Atlanta’s offense and continue his improved form at home.
Read more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, June 23.
Who will win Braves vs Padres today: Padres moneyline (+101)
The Atlanta Braves will hand JR Ritchie the baseball tonight, and the rookie has struggled lately. He owns a 6.70 FIP over his last 10 innings while allowing an alarming 46.2% hard-hit rate.
It doesn’t get much better on the road, where Ritchie has posted a 5.24 FIP this season.
Griffin Canning hasn’t been in peak form lately either, carrying a 5.46 xERA across his last five appearances. However, the right-hander has pitched considerably better at Petco Park, compiling a respectable 3.48 xFIP.
Atlanta’s offense is also cold. The Braves were shut out in Monday’s series opener and haven’t scored more than four runs in a game since last Wednesday.
I’ll play this pick up to -120.
COVERS INTEL: The Braves own just a .120 ISO over the last week compared to a .166 mark on the season, suggesting their power production has cooled considerably.Braves vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-131)
There may be two inconsistent starters on the mound, but neither lineup is swinging the bats particularly well. Atlanta owns a 67 wRC+ over its last six games and is averaging just three runs per contest during that span.
San Diego has been slightly better offensively, but its .313 wOBA doesn’t suggest a lineup capable of carrying this total on its own. Both bullpens have also been solid lately. Atlanta’s relief corps owns a 3.59 xERA over the last week, while the Padres’ pen has posted a stellar 2.51 ERA across the last two weeks.
Between the bullpen form and recent offensive struggles, the Under offers value.
I’ll play this pick up to -140.
- ML/RL bets: 29-24, +2.63 units
- Over/Under bets: 31-21, +5.60 units
Braves vs Padres weather
Conditions at Petco Park should be fairly neutral tonight. Temperatures are expected to be around 70°F with 8.1 mph winds, 73.1% humidity, and virtually no chance of rain. The mild weather and light breeze shouldn’t provide much assistance to either pitchers or hitters.
Braves vs Padres odds
- Moneyline: Braves -108 | Padres +104
- Run line: Braves -1.5 (+150) | Padres +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)
Braves vs Padres trend
The Padres have hit the Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Padres.
How to watch Braves vs Padres and game info
| Location | Petco Park, San Diego, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, June 23, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
| Braves starting pitcher | JR Ritchie (1-2, 4.54 ERA) |
| Padres starting pitcher | Griffin Canning (1-5, 6.64 ERA) |
Braves vs Padres latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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