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The Las Vegas Aces take their four-game win streak on the road to Moda Center to face the Portland Fire, losers of three straight.
With Carla Leite banged up, my Aces vs. Fire predictions call for Bridget Carleton to make the most of expanded offensive opportunities and exploit Las Vegas’ questionable perimeter defense.
My WNBA picks call for Portland to keep things close at home in a low-scoring affair.
Aces vs Fire prediction
Aces vs Fire best bet: Bridget Carleton Over 1.5 three-pointers (-190)
The Las Vegas Aces have been notoriously bad at containing opposing three-point shooters. Teams have shot 36.9% from beyond the arc against Vegas in 2026 and a blistering 38.7% across their last five.
In that span, the Aces have given up the most triples (11). The expansion Portland Fire has shuffled its rotation early on, but Bridget Carleton leads the team in minutes.
She also leads in three-point attempts at a career-best 6.2, and she’s hit 2+ in six of 12 games. I like this prop up to 2.5, where it comes in at juicy +155 odds.
COVERS INTEL: Since 2024, Bridget Carleton is one of only six players to average at least 25 minutes and shoot better than 40% from beyond the arc.Aces vs Fire same-game parlay
The Aces haven’t been the best ATS, especially as big favorites. They allowed the Seattle Storm to cover and drop 91 points and are 0-3 ATS in their last three as 9.5-point favorites. Portland has a puncher’s chance at home, especially if the triples are falling, and I like this one down to 8.5.
Over the last five, both teams rank in the Bottom 5 in Pace, and Portland has limited PITP and defensive rebounds, A’ja Wilson’s specialty. Portland will try to slow this one down and make it ugly, leading to a total bettable to 169.5.
Aces vs Fire SGP
- Bridget Carleton Over 1.5 Three-Pointers
- Fire +10
- Under 171.5
- Best bet: 8-8, -0.95 units
- SGP: 3-13, +2.4 units
Aces vs Fire odds
- Spread: Las Vegas -7.5 | Portland +7.5
- Moneyline: Las Vegas -450 | Portland +350
- Over/Under: Over 171.5 | Under 171.5
Aces vs Fire trend
Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS across its last three games as favorites of 9.5 points or more. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Aces vs Fire
| Location | Moda Center, Portland, OR |
| Date | Thursday, June 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Vegas 34, Rose City SportsNet |
Aces vs Fire latest injuries
Aces: Dana Evans (leg) ruled out, Chennedy Carter (leg) ruled as day-to-day.
Fire: Carla Leite (leg) ruled as day-to-day.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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