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The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action on Friday night.
My Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions are fading an OKC side that is resting almost its entire starting rotation.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference clash on April 10.
Thunder vs Nuggets prediction
Thunder vs Nuggets best bet: Thunder team total Under 110.5 (-120)
The Oklahoma City Thunder have given most of their rotation players the night off after clinching the No. 1 seed. Four starters, including MVP favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, are ruled out along with several key bench players.
OKC has just eight players available, with three of them on two-way contracts. Their best offensive player will likely be Lu Dort, who shoots 38.7% from the floor.
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have listed all five starters, including Nikola Jokic, as questionable.
This game could be ugly, and since we don’t know who will suit up for Denver, I’ll fade OKC on its team total.
Thunder vs Nuggets same-game parlay
The Nuggets still have something to play for, since they currently have the No. 3 seed, but are just one game ahead of the Lakers and Rockets.
Expect them to play at least a few of their starters in an effort to win, although they could rest them in the second half if they build a big lead. That has me laying the points on the 1H spread.
Jamal Murray is questionable due to a shoulder impingement. That said, the guard dropped 26 points on Wednesday, and books have released player props for him.
I’ll back him to eclipse 22.5 points, with this leg simply being canceled if he doesn’t play.
Thunder vs Nuggets SGP
- Thunder team total Under 110.5
- Nuggets -6.5 1H
- Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Denver domination
If Jokic and Murray suit up, this game could get out of hand. So lets take a swing on Denver winning big if that’s the case.
That involves backing Jokic and Murray on their points and assists props, which will be easy numbers to clear against the Thunder “B team.”
Thunder vs Nuggets SGP
- Nuggets -12
- Nikola Jokic Over 23.5 points
- Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists
- Jamal Murray Over 22.5 points
- Jamal Murray Over 6.5 assists
Thunder vs Nuggets odds
- Spread: Thunder +12 | Nuggets -12
- Moneyline: Thunder +400 | Nuggets -550
- Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5
Thunder vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 7% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Thunder vs Nuggets
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Friday, April 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN Oklahoma, Altitude |
Thunder vs Nuggets latest injuries
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