Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.
It’s a getaway Wednesday, and there are a pair of +EV home-run props at +500 or better that I already have in the account before noon. Can we get both players to hit dinger No. 1 this afternoon as we take advantage of the MLB player prop markets?
These are my favorite home run props for Wednesday, April 1.
Best MLB home run props today
Taylor Ward
Daulton VarshoTaylor Ward (+500)
Taylor Ward brings legit 36-homer power to the leadoff spot for the Baltimore Orioles, giving him a strong chance at five plate appearances this afternoon.
He faces Nathan Eovaldi, a familiar matchup with 20 career at-bats against him. Eovaldi allowed two home runs in his first start and projects to go Over his 2.5 earned runs prop, according to THE BAT, which makes Ward’s HR price around +425.
Ward hasn’t gone deep yet, but he’s coming off a four-hit game, carrying a 49% fly-ball rate, and gets ideal conditions at Oriole Park at Camden Yards with 80-degree weather and wind blowing out to center.
- Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MASN, Rangers Sports Network
Daulton Varsho (+600)
Back to the afternoon slate with another +EV look on Daulton Varsho. He draws a favorable matchup against Kyle Freeland, a soft-tossing lefty he’s already taken deep in a small sample.
The lefty-lefty matchup might raise eyebrows, but Varsho actually has reverse splits and handles left-handed pitching well. Freeland doesn’t show a meaningful edge against lefty bats either, and Varsho should also get opportunities against a thin Colorado Rockies bullpen that used its only lefty arm last night.
At the end of the day, it’s a price play. At +600, with a fair value closer to +420, this is a strong expected-value spot worth targeting.
- Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, Rockies.TV
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.
