Kings vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors will look to snap a three-game skid when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight at Chase Center.

Curry’s return injects life into Golden State’s otherwise listless offense, and my Kings vs. Warriors predictions expect a high-scoring matchup and a high-scoring performance from Golden State’s superstar.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this Pacific Division showdown on Tuesday, April 7.

Kings vs Warriors prediction

Kings vs Warriors best bet: Over 234 (-110)

The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors have each hit the Over in seven of their last 10 games, and it has hit in six straight head-to-head matchups between these teams. 

The Kings have gone Over in three of their last five on the road, and the Warriors have reached that mark in four of their last five at home.

Stephen Curry immediately boosts Golden State’s offensive abilities, and his on-court/off-court splits this season are eye-opening. The Warriors sport a 119.4 offensive rating with Curry and a 110.6 rating without him. The team has scored 120.2 points per game with Curry, which would be good for third best. Without Curry, the team has averaged just 109.2 points, good for 29th.

Golden State’s offense sports a 100.1 pace with Curry compared to a 97.4 pace without him.

The Warriors have shot 47.6% from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc with their star point guard and 44.6% from the field and 33.5% from beyond the arc without him. With Curry, the team ranks in the Top 12 in both shooting categories. Without him, they rank in the Bottom 2 in both.

Basically, Golden State is a completely different beast when the most prolific 3-point shooter in NBA history is in the lineup. Go figure.

The Kings may be down several key players, but they have hit the Over consistently across their last 10 games, either playing in shootouts or getting blown out so badly that their opponent’s high score pushes the game total Over.

Kings vs Warriors same-game parlay

Curry looked no worse for wear when he returned to face the Rockets on Sunday. He posted 29 points after two months on the shelf, picking up right where he left off. He’s scored 27+ in 23 of 40 games this season, including 12 of 22 at home.

Draymond Green is averaging just 5.8 dimes per game at home this season, but he’s picked up the pace as a playmaker as of late. Green has averaged eight assists per game across his last five outings, clearing the Over on this line four times.

Kings vs Warriors SGP

• Over 234
• Stephen Curry Over 26.5 points
• Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists

Our “from downtown” SGP: Bombs away!

Chef Curry has canned five or more treys in 17 of 40 games this season while averaging 4.5 per contest. He knocked down five on Sunday against the Rockets, and he nailed six in his first matchup with the Kings.

Brandin Podziemski has knocked down multiple triples in seven straight, including 3+ in two of his last five. De’Anthony Melton is averaging 1.7 made 3-pointers at home compared to 1.2 on the road. He’s hit 3+ threes in 12 of 24 at home, and he finished with three against Sacramento earlier in the season.

Kings vs Warriors SGP

• Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists
• Stephen Curry Over 4.5 made threes
• Brandin Podziemski Over 2.5 made threes
• De’Anthony Melton Over 1.5 made threes

Kings vs Warriors odds

• Spread: Kings +14.5 (-110) | Warriors -14.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Kings +700 | Warriors -1100
• Over/Under: Over 234.5 (-110) | Under 234.5 (-110)

Kings vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Warriors.

How to watch Kings vs Warriors

Kings vs Warriors latest injuries

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