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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is showing signs of life with the bat, and I think he breaks through this afternoon in a plus-pitching matchup.
Find out why in my Blue Jays vs. White Sox predictions and MLB picks below.
Blue Jays vs White Sox predictions
Blue Jays vs White Sox best bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+120)
Davis Martin was hit hard in his first outing, allowing three extra-base hits, culminating in a .937 opponent OPS, while ranking in the second percentile in hard-hit rate.
Enter Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
The Toronto Blue Jays slugger hits the ball as hard as anyone in the league. He ranked in the 90th percentile in hard-hit rate last season and is starting to show that same level of pop in his bat.
Guerrero finally hit his first home run of the season yesterday, and nearly had another with a long moon shot that was caught at the wall.
This tells me that he’s starting to see and hit the ball better, and I’ll bank on that bat continuing its breakout today with Martin on the mound.
COVERS INTEL: Davis Martin was hit hard in his first outing of the season, giving up a homer and two doubles, while ranking in the third percentile in average-exit velocity to go along with a .530 xSLG rate. Blue Jays vs White Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue the trend of betting on Vladdy breaking out offensively and take him to go Over 0.5 RBI this afternoon.
Davis Martin had a 5.11 xERA last season and a 7.27 xERA in his last outing. Thus, the base paths could be busy tonight, and if Vladdy gets his hits with men on base, he’s in the right spot in the lineup to cash in a run or two.
For the final leg, I’ll take Eric Lauer to go Over his strikeout total. He had nine Ks in his first outing, and Chicago ranks 29th in Ks this season, already having struck out 18 times through the first two games of the series.
Blue Jays vs White Sox SGP
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI
- Eric Lauer Over 4.5 strikeouts
Blue Jays vs White Sox home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+400)
I’ll continue to back Vladdy and take him as my home run pick for tonight. Homers come in bunches for Guerrero Jr., and with the first one out of the way, he could erupt anytime now.
Additionally, the matchup favors Vladdy, who has terrific bat-to-ball skills, squaring the ball up, and hitting it with authority. This combination is dangerous for a pitcher like Martin, who gets hit hard and often.
- Best bets: 2-5, -2.65 units
- SGPs: 1-6, -2.5 units
- HR picks: 2-5, +1.3 units
Blue Jays vs White Sox odds
- Moneyline: Toronto -165 | Chicago +140
- Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+100) | Chicago +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Blue Jays vs White Sox trend
The Blue Jays have covered the first-five run line in 16 of their last 21 games for +11.05 units and a 46% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. White Sox.
How to watch Blue Jays vs White Sox and game info
| Location | Rate Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Sunday, April 5, 2026 |
| First pitch | 2:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Eric Lauer (1-0, 3.38 ERA) |
| White Sox starting pitcher | Davis Martin (1-0, 5.40 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs White Sox latest injuries
Blue Jays vs White Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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